Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Wettenprognose) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
80% | 20% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Position eröffnen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
80% | 20% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Position eröffnen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Position eröffnen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Position eröffnen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Position eröffnen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| New Mexico vs. New Mexico State | 80% |
| Spread -1.5 | 80% |
| New Mexico O/U 27.5 | 76% |
| 1H Moneyline | 76% |
| O/U 34.5 | 74% |
| O/U 40.5 | 72% |
| Spread -3.5 | 69% |
| Spread -4.5 | 68% |
| Spread -5.5 | 67% |
| O/U 42.5 | 65% |
| Spread -6.5 | 64% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 64% |
| O/U 44.5 | 60% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 59% |
| Spread -7.5 | 58% |
| Spread -8.5 | 57% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 57% |
| Spread -9.5 | 56% |
| O/U 46.5 | 56% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 56% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 54% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 53% |
| New Mexico State O/U 20.5 | 53% |
| New Mexico 1H O/U 14.5 | 52% |
| Spread -10.5 | 51% |
| Spread -32.5 | 50% |
| Spread -29.5 | 50% |
| Spread -28.5 | 50% |
| Spread -26.5 | 50% |
| Spread -25.5 | 50% |
| Spread -22.5 | 50% |
| O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| O/U 38.5 | 50% |
| O/U 48.5 | 50% |
| O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| O/U 66.5 | 50% |
| O/U 68.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico 1H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State 1H O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State 1H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State 2H O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| New Mexico State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| New Mexico vs. New Mexico State: Total Touchdowns O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| New Mexico vs. New Mexico State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico vs. New Mexico State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico vs. New Mexico State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico vs. New Mexico State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| New Mexico vs. New Mexico State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -11.5 | 49% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 49% |
| New Mexico O/U 30.5 | 49% |
| Spread -12.5 | 48% |
| New Mexico State O/U 17.5 | 48% |
| Spread -13.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 46% |
| O/U 50.5 | 44% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 42% |
| Spread -14.5 | 41% |
| Spread -18.5 | 39% |
| O/U 52.5 | 39% |
| Spread -19.5 | 38% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 38% |
| Spread -16.5 | 36% |
| O/U 54.5 | 36% |
| Spread -17.5 | 35% |
| Spread -15.5 | 34% |
| Spread -20.5 | 29% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 29% |
| O/U 58.5 | 27% |
| New Mexico State O/U 23.5 | 21% |
| Spread -1.5 | 20% |
| Spread -2.5 | 19% |
| O/U 64.5 | 16% |
| Spread -4.5 | 15% |
| Spread -8.5 | 14% |
| Spread -5.5 | 13% |
Markt-Kontext
Live-Daten von Polymarket zeigen 80% Ja-Wahrscheinlichkeit für Prognose: New Mexico vs. New Mexico State. In the upcoming college football game between New Mexico and New Mexico State, scheduled for September 26 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "New Mexico" if New Mexico win the game. This market…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $74K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Seite ist als Vergleichs-Snapshot konzipiert: ein Live-Kurs (Polymarket), vier Referenz-Plattformen mit ihren Schlüssel-Eigenschaften, und ein durchgehender Pfad zur Ausführung — alle Trade-Buttons routen zu Wettenprognose, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch direkt spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Die Auflösung läuft on-chain. Polymarkets Vertragslogik trennt YES- und NO-Anteile als Conditional Tokens; bei Auflösung werden die richtigen Anteile zu 100¢ und die anderen zu 0¢. Die Outcome-Eingabe kommt vom UMA Optimistic Oracle, das mit einem Bond-System gegen falsche Auflösung absichert.
Sobald die Auflösung durch ist, hebt der Smart Contract alle gewinnenden Anteile zu USDC und schickt die Beträge an die Wallets der Inhaber. Das geschieht binnen Minuten der finalen Bestätigung — ohne Auszahlungsgebühren über die Polygon-Netzwerkkosten hinaus.
Häufige Fragen
- Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
- Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
- Wie funktioniert die Auflösung?
- Über das UMA Optimistic Oracle: ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, USDC-Auszahlung erfolgt automatisch.
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Wettenprognose ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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Jetzt „Prognose: New Mexico vs. New Mexico State" auf Wettenprognose handeln
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