Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Wettenprognose) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Position eröffnen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Position eröffnen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Position eröffnen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Position eröffnen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Position eröffnen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Tulsa 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 39.5 | 93% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 91% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 91% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 91% |
| O/U 35.5 | 80% |
| O/U 37.5 | 80% |
| O/U 45.5 | 79% |
| North Texas O/U 23.5 | 79% |
| O/U 43.5 | 78% |
| O/U 41.5 | 77% |
| North Texas O/U 20.5 | 76% |
| Tulsa O/U 23.5 | 75% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 74% |
| O/U 47.5 | 71% |
| O/U 49.5 | 69% |
| Tulsa O/U 29.5 | 68% |
| O/U 51.5 | 62% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 62% |
| O/U 53.5 | 55% |
| Spread -1.5 | 52% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| North Texas O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| North Texas O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| North Texas O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Tulsa O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Tulsa O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Tulsa O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| North Texas 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| North Texas 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| North Texas 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Tulsa 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Tulsa 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| North Texas 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| North Texas 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| North Texas 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Tulsa 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Tulsa 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Tulsa 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| North Texas vs. Tulsa: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| North Texas vs. Tulsa: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| North Texas vs. Tulsa: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| North Texas Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| North Texas Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| North Texas Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tulsa Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tulsa Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tulsa Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| North Texas Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| North Texas Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| North Texas Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Tulsa Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Tulsa Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| North Texas Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Tulsa Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| North Texas Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| North Texas Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Tulsa Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Tulsa Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Tulsa Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| North Texas Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| North Texas Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| North Texas Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Tulsa Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Tulsa Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Tulsa Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| North Texas 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| North Texas 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tulsa 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tulsa 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| North Texas Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| North Texas Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| North Texas Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tulsa Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tulsa Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| North Texas Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| North Texas Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Tulsa Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| North Texas Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Tulsa Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Tulsa Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Tulsa Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| North Texas Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| North Texas Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| North Texas Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Tulsa Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Tulsa Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Tulsa Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| North Texas vs. Tulsa: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| North Texas vs. Tulsa: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| North Texas vs. Tulsa: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tulsa O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| North Texas O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| O/U 55.5 | 47% |
| North Texas vs. Tulsa | 46% |
| O/U 57.5 | 43% |
| O/U 61.5 | 43% |
| Spread -1.5 | 42% |
| Spread -3.5 | 41% |
| Spread -4.5 | 39% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 39% |
| Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| O/U 59.5 | 36% |
| Spread -5.5 | 35% |
| Spread -8.5 | 34% |
| Spread -8.5 | 33% |
| Spread -6.5 | 33% |
| O/U 71.5 | 32% |
| O/U 65.5 | 31% |
| Spread -3.5 | 30% |
| Spread -4.5 | 28% |
| O/U 67.5 | 28% |
| O/U 73.5 | 28% |
| Spread -5.5 | 27% |
| O/U 63.5 | 27% |
| Spread -7.5 | 26% |
| Spread -6.5 | 23% |
| Spread -10.5 | 20% |
| Spread -7.5 | 17% |
| Spread -13.5 | 16% |
| Spread -14.5 | 12% |
| O/U 69.5 | 12% |
| Spread -10.5 | 11% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 11% |
| Spread -16.5 | 10% |
| Spread -13.5 | 9% |
| Spread -16.5 | 8% |
| Spread -14.5 | 8% |
| Spread -17.5 | 8% |
| O/U 75.5 | 7% |
| Spread -20.5 | 5% |
| Spread -17.5 | 4% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
Markt-Kontext
North Texas vs. Tulsa. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 65% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-10-02T01:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $642K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Diese Übersicht vergleicht Prognose: North Texas vs. Tulsa über fünf Plattformen. Die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit ist der Polymarket-Mid-Preis aus dem Polygon-Orderbuch; die Vergleichs-Spalten zeigen Gebührenstruktur, KYC-Schwellen, Settlement-Währung und Zahlungswege jeder Plattform. Alle CTAs leiten zu Wettenprognose, das den Polymarket-Orderbuch zu 0 % Gebühren spiegelt.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket-basierte Märkte werden über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon aufgelöst. Ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, und unangefochtene Vorschläge schließen die Auflösung ab. Auszahlungen erfolgen automatisch in USDC, sobald das Ergebnis final ist — keine Buchhalter, keine Verzögerung.
Kalshi-basierte Märkte werden in USD über die CFTC-regulierte Settlement-Engine ausgezahlt. Betfair Exchange zahlt in GBP/EUR aus, abzüglich Kommission. Manifold ist Spielgeld und zahlt keine echten Beträge aus.
Häufige Fragen
- Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
- Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist Wettenprognose. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Wettenprognose ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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Jetzt „Prognose: North Texas vs. Tulsa" auf Wettenprognose handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
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