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Prognose: Pistons vs. Nets

So preist der Markt „Prognose: Pistons vs. Nets" gerade ein — Live-Quoten, Anbieter-Vergleich, Quellen aus dem Polymarket-Orderbuch.

4Q O/U 40.5 95% Pistons O/U 97.5 94% 3Q O/U 42.5 93% Pistons O/U 99.5 92% Volumen: $686K Liquidität: $3.1M Schließt: 30 Oct 2026
Live-Markt öffnen →
Prognose: Pistons vs. Nets

Plattform-Vergleich

PlattformJA-QuoteNEIN-QuoteGebührKYCAuszahlung
Polymarket (über Wettenprognose) Empfohlen
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
95% 5% 0 % (USDC on-chain) Bis $1.500 ohne KYC USDC, automatisch via UMA Position eröffnen →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
95% 5% 0% Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH USDC, on-chain Position eröffnen →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Bis 7 % pro Trade US-only, KYC erforderlich USD Position eröffnen →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5 % Kommission Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade GBP / EUR Position eröffnen →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Spielgeld (mana) Keine — Spielgeld Mana (kein Cash-Out) Position eröffnen →

Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten

Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.

ErgebnisWahrscheinlichkeit
4Q O/U 40.595%
Pistons O/U 97.594%
3Q O/U 42.593%
Pistons O/U 99.592%
O/U 199.591%
3Q O/U 44.590%
4Q O/U 42.590%
4Q O/U 44.590%
Pistons O/U 101.589%
O/U 201.588%
O/U 203.586%
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 14.586%
3Q O/U 48.586%
4Q O/U 46.586%
Pistons O/U 103.585%
O/U 205.584%
Daniss Jenkins: Assists O/U 1.584%
3Q O/U 46.584%
Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 5.583%
Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 3.582%
O/U 207.580%
Pistons O/U 105.579%
Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 14.578%
Michael Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.578%
Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 3.578%
O/U 209.577%
4Q O/U 50.577%
Pistons O/U 107.575%
Pistons vs. Nets74%
O/U 211.574%
John Collins: Points O/U 9.574%
Daniss Jenkins: Rebounds O/U 1.574%
Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 9.572%
Nets O/U 107.572%
Spread -1.571%
Julius Randle: Points O/U 14.571%
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 19.571%
O/U 213.570%
3Q O/U 50.569%
Pistons O/U 109.569%
Spread -2.568%
4Q O/U 54.568%
1H Moneyline67%
O/U 215.566%
Duncan Robinson: Rebounds O/U 1.566%
1H Spread -0.566%
Spread -3.565%
Julius Randle: Assists O/U 3.565%
John Collins: Rebounds O/U 5.565%
Day'Ron Sharpe: Assists O/U 1.565%
1H O/U 110.563%
Pistons O/U 111.563%
Spread -4.562%
O/U 217.562%
Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 7.560%
Duncan Robinson: Assists O/U 1.560%
3Q O/U 52.560%
Spread -5.559%
Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 19.559%
Mikel Brown Jr.: Points O/U 9.559%
3Q Spread -8.559%
Cade Cunningham: Steals O/U 0.558%
1Q Spread -0.558%
O/U 219.557%
Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 3.557%
Mikel Brown Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.557%
1H O/U 112.557%
Spread -6.556%
Michael Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 1.556%
1H Spread -2.556%
1Q O/U 56.556%
Nets O/U 105.556%
Pistons O/U 113.556%
2Q Spread -0.556%
Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 1.554%
1Q O/U 46.554%
1Q O/U 50.554%
1Q O/U 52.554%
1Q O/U 54.554%
2Q O/U 44.554%
2Q O/U 48.554%
Nets 1H O/U 44.554%
Nets 1H O/U 46.554%
Nets 1H O/U 48.554%
Nets 1H O/U 50.554%
Nets 1H O/U 52.554%
Nets 1H O/U 54.554%
1H Spread -3.553%
1H O/U 113.553%
Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 5.553%
Mikel Brown Jr.: Assists O/U 3.553%
1Q O/U 48.553%
2Q O/U 46.553%
2Q O/U 50.553%
2Q O/U 52.553%
2Q O/U 54.553%
Nets O/U 103.553%
Nets O/U 91.553%
2Q Spread -1.553%
3Q O/U 53.553%
Spread -7.552%
O/U 221.552%
Paul Reed: Points O/U 14.552%
4Q Spread -13.552%
Nets O/U 101.552%
Nets O/U 89.552%
Nets O/U 93.552%
Nets O/U 95.552%
Nets O/U 97.552%
Nets O/U 99.552%
Nets O/U 106.552%
Daniss Jenkins: Points O/U 9.551%
1H O/U 100.551%
1H O/U 102.551%
1H O/U 104.551%
1H O/U 106.551%
1H O/U 108.551%
1H O/U 98.551%
4Q O/U 52.551%
Pistons O/U 114.551%
Nolan Traoré: Rebounds O/U 1.551%
Team to Score First50%
Odd/Even Score50%
Overtime?50%
Race to 1050%
Race to 2050%
Race to 3050%
1H O/U 114.550%
Michael Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.550%
Julius Randle: Assists O/U 1.550%
Daniss Jenkins: Assists O/U 3.550%
1H O/U 126.550%
1H O/U 128.550%
1H O/U 130.550%
1Q Spread -10.550%
1Q Spread -12.550%
1Q Spread -4.550%
1Q Spread -6.550%
1Q Spread -8.550%
1Q Spread -3.550%
2Q Spread -10.550%
2Q Spread -12.550%
2Q Spread -14.550%
2Q Spread -4.550%
2Q Spread -6.550%
2Q Spread -8.550%
2Q O/U 56.550%
2Q O/U 58.550%
3Q Spread -2.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
Nets 1H O/U 58.550%
Pistons 1H O/U 63.550%
Nets 1H O/U 60.550%
Pistons 1H O/U 65.550%
Nets 1H O/U 62.550%
Pistons 1H O/U 67.550%
Nets 1H O/U 64.550%
Pistons 1H O/U 69.550%
Nets 1H O/U 56.550%
Nets 2H O/U 49.550%
Nets 2H O/U 51.550%
Nets 2H O/U 53.550%
Nets 2H O/U 55.550%
Nets 2H O/U 57.550%
Pistons 1H O/U 49.550%
Pistons 1H O/U 51.550%
Pistons 1H O/U 53.550%
Pistons 1H O/U 55.550%
Pistons 1H O/U 57.550%
Pistons 1H O/U 61.550%
Pistons 2H O/U 53.550%
Pistons 2H O/U 55.550%
Pistons 2H O/U 57.550%
Pistons 2H O/U 59.550%
Pistons 2H O/U 61.550%
3Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -0.550%
Nets O/U 109.550%
2Q O/U 60.550%
Nets O/U 119.550%
Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 9.549%
Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 1.549%
Michael Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 1.549%
Ausar Thompson: Points O/U 4.549%
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 9.549%
Daniss Jenkins: Points O/U 4.549%
Mikel Brown Jr.: Points O/U 4.549%
Nolan Traoré: Points O/U 4.549%
Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 1.549%
Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 1.549%
Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 5.549%
Day'Ron Sharpe: Rebounds O/U 1.549%
John Collins: Rebounds O/U 1.549%
Paul Reed: Rebounds O/U 1.549%
Paul Reed: Rebounds O/U 3.549%
Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 3.549%
Nolan Traoré: Assists O/U 1.549%
Cade Cunningham: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.549%
Duncan Robinson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.549%
Moritz Wagner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.549%
Day'Ron Sharpe: Steals O/U 0.549%
Day'Ron Sharpe: Steals O/U 1.549%
Day'Ron Sharpe: Steals O/U 2.549%
Mikel Brown Jr.: Steals O/U 0.549%
Mikel Brown Jr.: Steals O/U 1.549%
Mikel Brown Jr.: Steals O/U 2.549%
Ausar Thompson: Blocks O/U 0.549%
Ausar Thompson: Blocks O/U 1.549%
Ausar Thompson: Blocks O/U 2.549%
1H O/U 120.549%
1H O/U 124.549%
3Q O/U 54.549%
Pistons O/U 115.549%
Pistons 1H O/U 59.549%
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)48%
O/U 223.548%
Julius Randle: Points O/U 19.548%
Julius Randle: Points O/U 9.548%
Ausar Thompson: Points O/U 9.548%
John Collins: Rebounds O/U 3.548%
Paul Reed: Rebounds O/U 5.548%
1H Spread -4.548%
1H Spread -9.548%
1Q Spread -2.548%
2Q Spread -2.548%
Nets 1H O/U 55.548%
Nolan Traoré: Assists O/U 3.547%
John Collins: Points O/U 14.547%
Day'Ron Sharpe: Rebounds O/U 3.547%
Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 1.547%
Keon Ellis: Steals O/U 0.547%
1H Spread -10.547%
1H Spread -12.547%
1H Spread -14.547%
1H Spread -16.547%
1H Spread -18.547%
1H Spread -20.547%
1H Spread -22.547%
1H Spread -8.547%
1H Spread -11.547%
1H Spread -13.547%
1H Spread -3.547%
1H Spread -5.547%
1H Spread -7.547%
1Q O/U 58.547%
1Q O/U 60.547%
Nets O/U 111.547%
Nets O/U 113.547%
Michael Porter Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 7.547%
Moritz Wagner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.547%
1Q O/U 62.547%
1Q O/U 64.547%
1Q O/U 66.547%
Nets O/U 115.547%
1Q O/U 68.547%
Nets O/U 117.547%
1Q O/U 70.547%
Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 9.546%
Day'Ron Sharpe: Rebounds O/U 7.546%
Moritz Wagner: Rebounds O/U 1.546%
Mikel Brown Jr.: Assists O/U 1.546%
Cade Cunningham: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.546%
Mikel Brown Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.546%
Nolan Traoré: Rebounds O/U 5.546%
Spread -9.545%
Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 21.545%
Day'Ron Sharpe: Points O/U 4.545%
Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.544%
Mikel Brown Jr.: Rebounds O/U 1.544%
Pistons vs. Nets: O/U 225.543%
Michael Porter Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.543%
Paul Reed: Points O/U 9.543%
Day'Ron Sharpe: Points O/U 8.543%
Duncan Robinson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.543%
1H O/U 116.543%
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 24.542%
Moritz Wagner: Points O/U 4.542%
Day'Ron Sharpe: Rebounds O/U 5.542%
Ausar Thompson: Steals O/U 0.542%
Pistons O/U 117.542%
Spread -10.541%
Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 5.541%
Julius Randle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.541%
Keon Ellis: Points O/U 6.541%
Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 3.541%
John Collins: Rebounds O/U 7.541%
Keon Ellis: Rebounds O/U 1.541%
3Q O/U 56.541%
Paul Reed: Assists O/U 1.540%
4Q Spread -3.540%
O/U 227.539%
Spread -11.539%
Julius Randle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.539%
Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 14.539%
Keon Ellis: Points O/U 4.539%
Mikel Brown Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.539%
John Collins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.539%
Paul Reed: Steals O/U 0.539%
1H Spread -6.539%
3Q Spread -4.539%
Mikel Brown Jr.: Points O/U 11.539%
Julius Randle: Assists O/U 5.538%
Nolan Traoré: Points O/U 10.538%
Keon Ellis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.538%
Keon Ellis: Steals O/U 1.537%
1H O/U 118.537%
Michael Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.536%
Keon Ellis: Rebounds O/U 2.536%
Moritz Wagner: Rebounds O/U 3.536%
Daniss Jenkins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.536%
Nolan Traoré: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.536%
Ausar Thompson: Steals O/U 1.536%
1H O/U 122.536%
Pistons O/U 119.536%
Spread -12.535%
O/U 229.535%
Michael Porter Jr.: Steals O/U 0.535%
Paul Reed: Rebounds O/U 7.535%
Paul Reed: Blocks O/U 0.535%
Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 7.534%
Day'Ron Sharpe: Rebounds O/U 6.534%
Duncan Robinson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.534%
2Q Spread -1.534%
Michael Porter Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.533%
Day'Ron Sharpe: Points O/U 7.533%
3Q Spread -1.533%
4Q O/U 56.533%
Day'Ron Sharpe: Rebounds O/U 13.533%
3Q O/U 58.533%
Spread -13.532%
Day'Ron Sharpe: Assists O/U 2.532%
Day'Ron Sharpe: Points O/U 9.532%
4Q Spread -2.532%
O/U 231.531%
Julius Randle: Steals O/U 0.531%
1Q Spread -1.531%
4Q Spread -5.531%
Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 24.530%
Michael Porter Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.530%
Moritz Wagner: Points O/U 9.530%
1H Spread -1.530%
Nolan Traoré: Points O/U 9.529%
3Q Spread -6.529%
Pistons O/U 121.529%
Mikel Brown Jr.: Points O/U 14.528%
Duncan Robinson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.528%
Spread -15.527%
O/U 233.527%
Michael Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.527%
Keon Ellis: Points O/U 9.527%
Daniss Jenkins: Rebounds O/U 3.527%
Keon Ellis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.526%
Paul Reed: Steals O/U 1.526%
Daniss Jenkins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.525%
Paul Reed: Blocks O/U 2.525%
4Q O/U 58.525%
3Q Spread -3.525%
O/U 235.524%
Michael Porter Jr.: Steals O/U 1.524%
Pistons O/U 123.524%
3Q O/U 60.524%
Spread -2.523%
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 29.523%
Paul Reed: Rebounds O/U 9.523%
4Q Spread -7.523%
Spread -17.522%
Julius Randle: Points O/U 24.522%
Nolan Traoré: Assists O/U 5.522%
O/U 237.521%
Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 7.521%
Keon Ellis: Steals O/U 2.521%
Ausar Thompson: Points O/U 14.520%
Mikel Brown Jr.: Assists O/U 5.520%
John Collins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.520%
Keon Ellis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.520%
Mikel Brown Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.520%
Paul Reed: Steals O/U 2.520%
Pistons O/U 125.520%
Moritz Wagner: Rebounds O/U 5.519%
Duncan Robinson: Assists O/U 3.519%
Cade Cunningham: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.519%
Spread -4.518%
Spread -19.518%
Moritz Wagner: Points O/U 14.518%
Duncan Robinson: Rebounds O/U 3.518%
Cade Cunningham: Steals O/U 1.518%
Julius Randle: Assists O/U 11.518%
4Q O/U 60.518%
O/U 239.517%
Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 29.517%
Day'Ron Sharpe: Rebounds O/U 9.517%
Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 11.517%
Daniss Jenkins: Assists O/U 5.517%
Day'Ron Sharpe: Assists O/U 3.517%
Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 34.516%
Keon Ellis: Points O/U 14.516%
Nolan Traoré: Points O/U 19.516%
Paul Reed: Points O/U 19.516%
Paul Reed: Points O/U 24.516%
Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 11.516%
John Collins: Rebounds O/U 9.516%
Keon Ellis: Rebounds O/U 3.516%
Keon Ellis: Rebounds O/U 5.516%
Paul Reed: Rebounds O/U 13.516%
Nolan Traoré: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.516%
Nolan Traoré: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.516%
Paul Reed: Blocks O/U 1.516%
Paul Reed: Rebounds O/U 11.515%
Paul Reed: Rebounds O/U 15.515%
Keon Ellis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.515%
Spread -6.514%
Spread -21.514%
O/U 241.514%
Michael Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 11.514%
Michael Porter Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.514%
Daniss Jenkins: Points O/U 14.514%
John Collins: Points O/U 19.514%
Nolan Traoré: Points O/U 14.514%
Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 7.514%
Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 5.514%
Paul Reed: Assists O/U 3.514%
Paul Reed: Assists O/U 5.514%
Cade Cunningham: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.514%
Moritz Wagner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.514%
Nolan Traoré: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.514%
Ausar Thompson: Steals O/U 2.514%
4Q Spread -9.514%
Pistons O/U 127.514%
Spread -20.513%
Spread -33.513%
Spread -35.513%
O/U 243.513%
Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 9.513%
Nolan Traoré: Points O/U 24.513%
Duncan Robinson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.513%
Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 13.513%
Michael Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 9.512%
Julius Randle: Steals O/U 1.512%
Julius Randle: Steals O/U 2.512%
Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 9.512%
Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 11.512%
4Q O/U 62.512%
Nolan Traoré: Rebounds O/U 3.512%
Spread -16.511%
Spread -8.511%
Spread -23.511%
O/U 245.511%
Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 11.511%
Julius Randle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.511%
Mikel Brown Jr.: Points O/U 19.511%
Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 9.511%
Cade Cunningham: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.511%
Mikel Brown Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.511%
Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 39.511%
Michael Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 13.511%
Spread -18.510%
Julius Randle: Assists O/U 7.510%
Julius Randle: Assists O/U 9.510%
Michael Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 3.510%
Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 19.510%
Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 24.510%
Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 29.510%
3Q Spread -10.510%
4Q Spread -11.510%
Spread -31.59%
O/U 247.59%
Michael Porter Jr.: Steals O/U 2.59%
John Collins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.59%
3Q Spread -12.59%
Spread -10.58%
Spread -25.58%
Spread -29.58%
Michael Porter Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.58%
Mikel Brown Jr.: Points O/U 24.58%
Day'Ron Sharpe: Rebounds O/U 11.58%
Day'Ron Sharpe: Points O/U 19.58%
Daniss Jenkins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.58%
Michael Porter Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.58%
Cade Cunningham: Steals O/U 2.58%
Duncan Robinson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.58%
4Q Spread -10.58%
Spread -14.57%
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 39.57%
Daniss Jenkins: Points O/U 19.57%
Day'Ron Sharpe: Points O/U 14.57%
Daniss Jenkins: Rebounds O/U 5.57%
Julius Randle: Points O/U 34.57%
Mikel Brown Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.57%
Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 15.57%
Duncan Robinson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.57%
Mikel Brown Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.57%
Mikel Brown Jr.: Assists O/U 7.57%
3Q Spread -14.57%
O/U 249.57%
O/U 255.57%
Spread -12.56%
Spread -27.56%
Julius Randle: Points O/U 29.56%
Ausar Thompson: Points O/U 19.56%
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 34.56%
John Collins: Points O/U 24.56%
Duncan Robinson: Rebounds O/U 5.56%
John Collins: Rebounds O/U 11.56%
Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 13.56%
Mikel Brown Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.56%
O/U 251.56%
O/U 253.56%
Cade Cunningham: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.55%
John Collins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.55%
Julius Randle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.55%
Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 7.55%
Daniss Jenkins: Assists O/U 7.55%
Nolan Traoré: Assists O/U 7.55%
Day'Ron Sharpe: Assists O/U 5.54%
Daniss Jenkins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.54%
Daniss Jenkins: Rebounds O/U 7.54%
Julius Randle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.54%
Duncan Robinson: Assists O/U 5.53%
Mikel Brown Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.53%

Markt-Kontext

Pistons vs. Nets. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 74% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-10-30T23:30:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.

Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.

Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.

Live-Daten & Statistiken

Der Polymarket-Orderbuch-Preis bewertet 4Q O/U 40.5 mit 95% bei "Prognose: Pistons vs. Nets".

4Q O/U 40.5 95% Andere 5%

Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $686K.

Methodik dieser Bewertung

Methodisch unterscheiden wir zwei Schichten: die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit (Polymarket-Mid-Preis) und die Plattform-Attribute (Gebühren, KYC, Auszahlung, Settlement-Währung). Eine kanonische Wahrscheinlichkeit über die Zeile, die Anbieter-spezifischen Trade-offs in den Spalten — sauber, vergleichbar, ohne Marketing-Lärm.

Auflösung & Auszahlung

Polymarket-basierte Märkte werden über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon aufgelöst. Ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, und unangefochtene Vorschläge schließen die Auflösung ab. Auszahlungen erfolgen automatisch in USDC, sobald das Ergebnis final ist — keine Buchhalter, keine Verzögerung.

Kalshi-basierte Märkte werden in USD über die CFTC-regulierte Settlement-Engine ausgezahlt. Betfair Exchange zahlt in GBP/EUR aus, abzüglich Kommission. Manifold ist Spielgeld und zahlt keine echten Beträge aus.

Häufige Fragen

Wo kann ich diesen Markt am günstigsten handeln?
Polymarket selbst ist global zugänglich, in DE/AT/CH allerdings geo-blockiert. Der einfachste Broker mit gleichem Orderbuch und 0 % Gebühr ist Wettenprognose. Kalshi nimmt bis zu 7 % pro Trade, Betfair Exchange 2-5 % Kommission auf Gewinne.
Sind Prediction-Märkte in Deutschland legal?
Prediction-Märkte befinden sich in Deutschland in einem rechtlichen Graubereich. Polymarket selbst ist in Deutschland geo-blockiert. Handeln Sie nur mit Kapital, dessen Verlust Sie verkraften können, und prüfen Sie die rechtliche Lage für Ihre Jurisdiktion.
Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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