Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Wettenprognose) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
95% | 5% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Position eröffnen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
95% | 5% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Position eröffnen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Position eröffnen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Position eröffnen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Position eröffnen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 204.5 | 95% |
| O/U 206.5 | 93% |
| O/U 208.5 | 92% |
| O/U 210.5 | 89% |
| James Harden: Assists O/U 1.5 | 88% |
| James Harden: Assists O/U 3.5 | 88% |
| O/U 212.5 | 87% |
| Cavaliers O/U 106.5 | 86% |
| O/U 214.5 | 84% |
| 1H O/U 101.5 | 84% |
| 1H O/U 99.5 | 84% |
| O/U 216.5 | 81% |
| 1H O/U 103.5 | 81% |
| Cavaliers O/U 108.5 | 81% |
| 1Q O/U 45.5 | 80% |
| Timberwolves O/U 103.5 | 80% |
| O/U 218.5 | 78% |
| Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 1.5 | 78% |
| 1H O/U 97.5 | 77% |
| Timberwolves O/U 105.5 | 76% |
| Cavaliers O/U 110.5 | 76% |
| 1H O/U 105.5 | 75% |
| O/U 220.5 | 74% |
| Peyton Watson: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 73% |
| O/U 222.5 | 70% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 1.5 | 70% |
| Cavaliers 1H O/U 53.5 | 70% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 69% |
| Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 69% |
| Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 4.5 | 69% |
| LaMelo Ball: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 68% |
| O/U 224.5 | 67% |
| Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 67% |
| 1H O/U 107.5 | 67% |
| Timberwolves O/U 109.5 | 64% |
| O/U 226.5 | 63% |
| Jaylon Tyson: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 63% |
| LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 9.5 | 63% |
| Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 62% |
| 1H O/U 109.5 | 62% |
| Evan Mobley: Points O/U 14.5 | 61% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Points O/U 9.5 | 61% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Assists O/U 1.5 | 61% |
| Cavaliers O/U 112.5 | 61% |
| Cavaliers 1H O/U 55.5 | 61% |
| Spread -1.5 | 60% |
| Peyton Watson: Points O/U 9.5 | 60% |
| Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 60% |
| 2Q O/U 51.5 | 60% |
| Timberwolves O/U 107.5 | 60% |
| Spread -2.5 | 59% |
| 2Q O/U 53.5 | 59% |
| 3Q O/U 54.5 | 59% |
| O/U 228.5 | 58% |
| Cavaliers O/U 116.5 | 58% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 57% |
| Timberwolves O/U 111.5 | 57% |
| Spread -3.5 | 56% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 14.5 | 56% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 56% |
| 1H O/U 111.5 | 56% |
| Cavaliers O/U 114.5 | 56% |
| James Harden: Points O/U 9.5 | 55% |
| Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 55% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 1.5 | 55% |
| Sam Merrill: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 55% |
| 3Q O/U 58.5 | 55% |
| O/U 230.5 | 54% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 9.5 | 54% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 54% |
| Peyton Watson: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 54% |
| Spread -4.5 | 53% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 14.5 | 53% |
| LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 14.5 | 53% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 53% |
| Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 53% |
| LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 5.5 | 53% |
| 4Q O/U 56.5 | 53% |
| Jaylon Tyson: Points O/U 4.5 | 52% |
| James Harden: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 52% |
| LaMelo Ball: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 52% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Assists O/U 1.5 | 52% |
| 3Q O/U 56.5 | 52% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Points O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 55.5 | 51% |
| Timberwolves O/U 113.5 | 51% |
| Cavaliers O/U 118.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| James Harden: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Terrence Shannon Jr.: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| James Harden: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 66.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Cavaliers 2H O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| Cavaliers 1H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Cavaliers 2H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Cavaliers 2H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Cavaliers 2H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Cavaliers 2H O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| Timberwolves 2H O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| Timberwolves 2H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Timberwolves 2H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Timberwolves 2H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Timberwolves 2H O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| O/U 232.5 | 49% |
| Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 24.5 | 49% |
| Sam Merrill: Points O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 49% |
| Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 49% |
| Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 49% |
| Terrence Shannon Jr.: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Peyton Watson: Assists O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Anthony Edwards: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Anthony Edwards: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Anthony Edwards: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Anthony Edwards: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 49% |
| Anthony Edwards: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 49% |
| Anthony Edwards: 3-Pointers Made O/U 7.5 | 49% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Donovan Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Donovan Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Donovan Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Donovan Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Donovan Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 49% |
| Evan Mobley: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Evan Mobley: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Evan Mobley: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Jaden McDaniels: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Jaden McDaniels: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Jaden McDaniels: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| James Harden: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| James Harden: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| James Harden: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| James Harden: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| James Harden: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 49% |
| Jaylon Tyson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Jaylon Tyson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Jaylon Tyson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| LaMelo Ball: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| LaMelo Ball: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| LaMelo Ball: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| LaMelo Ball: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 49% |
| LaMelo Ball: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 49% |
| LaMelo Ball: 3-Pointers Made O/U 7.5 | 49% |
| Peyton Watson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Peyton Watson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Peyton Watson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Sam Merrill: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Sam Merrill: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Sam Merrill: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Sam Merrill: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Sam Merrill: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 49% |
| Terrence Shannon Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Terrence Shannon Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Terrence Shannon Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Anthony Edwards: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Anthony Edwards: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Anthony Edwards: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| James Harden: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| James Harden: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| James Harden: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| LaMelo Ball: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| LaMelo Ball: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| LaMelo Ball: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Peyton Watson: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Peyton Watson: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Evan Mobley: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Evan Mobley: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Evan Mobley: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Jarrett Allen: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Jarrett Allen: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Jarrett Allen: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Peyton Watson: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Peyton Watson: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Peyton Watson: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Rudy Gobert: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Rudy Gobert: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Rudy Gobert: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Evan Mobley: Blocks O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| 1Q O/U 57.5 | 49% |
| 3Q O/U 60.5 | 49% |
| Donovan Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 49% |
| Jaden McDaniels: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Jaylon Tyson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 29.5 | 49% |
| Race to 10 | 48% |
| Spread -5.5 | 48% |
| Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 48% |
| James Harden: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5 | 48% |
| 1H O/U 113.5 | 48% |
| 4Q O/U 58.5 | 48% |
| Cavaliers O/U 124.5 | 48% |
| James Harden: Points O/U 16.5 | 47% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 24.5 | 47% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 39.5 | 47% |
| Evan Mobley: Points O/U 29.5 | 47% |
| Peyton Watson: Points O/U 24.5 | 47% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 47% |
| Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 47% |
| Jaylon Tyson: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 24.5 | 47% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 19.5 | 47% |
| LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 34.5 | 47% |
| Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| Sam Merrill: Points O/U 19.5 | 47% |
| Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| LaMelo Ball: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| Peyton Watson: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 17.5 | 47% |
| Terrence Shannon Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 47% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 3.5 | 47% |
| LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 3.5 | 47% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 44.5 | 47% |
| Evan Mobley: Points O/U 34.5 | 47% |
| James Harden: Points O/U 34.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 47% |
| Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 29.5 | 47% |
| O/U 233.5 | 46% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 19.5 | 46% |
| Evan Mobley: Points O/U 9.5 | 46% |
| Jaylon Tyson: Points O/U 8.5 | 46% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 46% |
| Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 46% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 46% |
| Race to 20 | 45% |
| Spread -6.5 | 45% |
| Evan Mobley: Points O/U 17.5 | 45% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 45% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 45% |
| Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 45% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 45% |
| Timberwolves 1H O/U 52.5 | 45% |
| Race to 30 | 44% |
| O/U 234.5 | 44% |
| James Harden: Assists O/U 6.5 | 44% |
| Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 44% |
| Jaylon Tyson: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 44% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Points O/U 24.5 | 44% |
| Terrence Shannon Jr.: Points O/U 9.5 | 44% |
| LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 7.5 | 44% |
| Donovan Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 44% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 44% |
| 2Q O/U 57.5 | 44% |
| 2Q O/U 59.5 | 44% |
| Timberwolves O/U 121.5 | 44% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 4.5 | 43% |
| Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 2.5 | 43% |
| James Harden: Points O/U 29.5 | 43% |
| Terrence Shannon Jr.: Points O/U 19.5 | 43% |
| 1H O/U 115.5 | 43% |
| Timberwolves 1H O/U 56.5 | 43% |
| Timberwolves O/U 115.5 | 43% |
| Timberwolves 1H O/U 54.5 | 43% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 25.5 | 42% |
| Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 13.5 | 42% |
| Peyton Watson: Points O/U 12.5 | 42% |
| Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5 | 42% |
| Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 9.5 | 42% |
| LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 29.5 | 42% |
| LaMelo Ball: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 42% |
| Cavaliers 1H O/U 59.5 | 42% |
| Cavaliers O/U 120.5 | 42% |
| Spread -7.5 | 41% |
| O/U 236.5 | 40% |
| James Harden: Points O/U 14.5 | 40% |
| Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 40% |
| 1Q O/U 59.5 | 40% |
| James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 39% |
| 1H Moneyline | 39% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 39% |
| Timberwolves O/U 117.5 | 39% |
| Cavaliers O/U 126.5 | 39% |
| Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers | 38% |
| Spread -8.5 | 38% |
| Terrence Shannon Jr.: Points O/U 14.5 | 38% |
| Cavaliers O/U 122.5 | 38% |
| Spread -9.5 | 37% |
| Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 9.5 | 37% |
| 1H O/U 117.5 | 37% |
| O/U 238.5 | 36% |
| Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 36% |
| Peyton Watson: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 35% |
| Anthony Edwards: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 35% |
| Timberwolves 1H O/U 58.5 | 35% |
| Spread -1.5 | 34% |
| Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 34% |
| Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 14.5 | 34% |
| Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 19.5 | 34% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 9.5 | 34% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 34% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 34% |
| Cavaliers 1H O/U 61.5 | 34% |
| Spread -10.5 | 33% |
| Jaden McDaniels: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 33% |
| James Harden: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 33% |
| Timberwolves O/U 119.5 | 33% |
| Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 44.5 | 32% |
| 3Q O/U 62.5 | 32% |
| Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 24.5 | 31% |
| Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 1.5 | 31% |
| Rudy Gobert: Assists O/U 1.5 | 31% |
| Jaylon Tyson: Points O/U 9.5 | 30% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 14.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 30% |
| 1Q O/U 61.5 | 30% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 30% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 29% |
| Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| Spread -12.5 | 28% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 28% |
| James Harden: Assists O/U 7.5 | 28% |
| James Harden: Assists O/U 11.5 | 28% |
| Evan Mobley: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 28% |
| 1H O/U 119.5 | 28% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 28% |
| Timberwolves 1H O/U 60.5 | 28% |
| Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 27% |
| Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 27% |
| Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 39.5 | 26% |
| LaMelo Ball: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 26% |
| Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 3.5 | 26% |
| Evan Mobley: Points O/U 19.5 | 25% |
| James Harden: Points O/U 19.5 | 25% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Points O/U 14.5 | 25% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 25% |
| Spread -5.5 | 24% |
| Jaylon Tyson: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 24% |
| 1H O/U 123.5 | 24% |
| Spread -14.5 | 23% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 23% |
| LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 24.5 | 23% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 23% |
| 1H O/U 121.5 | 23% |
| 1Q O/U 63.5 | 23% |
| Timberwolves O/U 123.5 | 23% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 29.5 | 22% |
| Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 14.5 | 22% |
| Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 22% |
| James Harden: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 22% |
| Peyton Watson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 22% |
| Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 7.5 | 22% |
| Jaylon Tyson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 21% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 21% |
| Terrence Shannon Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 21% |
| Cavaliers O/U 128.5 | 21% |
| Spread -7.5 | 20% |
| Peyton Watson: Points O/U 14.5 | 20% |
| Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 20% |
| Jarrett Allen: Assists O/U 1.5 | 20% |
| Spread -16.5 | 19% |
| Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 19% |
| Terrence Shannon Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 19% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 19% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 19% |
| Sam Merrill: Points O/U 9.5 | 18% |
| Jaylon Tyson: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 18% |
| Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 29.5 | 18% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 19.5 | 18% |
| O/U 250.5 | 17% |
| Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 17% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Assists O/U 3.5 | 17% |
| LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 9.5 | 17% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 17% |
| 1H O/U 125.5 | 17% |
| Timberwolves O/U 125.5 | 17% |
| Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 16% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 15% |
| Spread -9.5 | 14% |
| Spread -18.5 | 14% |
| O/U 252.5 | 14% |
| Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 14% |
| Peyton Watson: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 14% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Assists O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 14% |
| 1Q O/U 65.5 | 14% |
| O/U 254.5 | 13% |
| Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 34.5 | 13% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 13% |
| Peyton Watson: Assists O/U 3.5 | 13% |
| Spread -11.5 | 12% |
| Spread -20.5 | 12% |
| Evan Mobley: Points O/U 24.5 | 12% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 19.5 | 12% |
| 1H O/U 127.5 | 12% |
| 1H O/U 129.5 | 12% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 11% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 11% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 11% |
| 1Q O/U 67.5 | 11% |
| Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| Jaylon Tyson: Points O/U 14.5 | 10% |
| Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 10% |
| Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 14.5 | 10% |
| Spread -13.5 | 9% |
| Spread -22.5 | 9% |
| O/U 256.5 | 9% |
| Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 9% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 5.5 | 9% |
| James Harden: Assists O/U 9.5 | 9% |
| 1Q O/U 69.5 | 9% |
| O/U 258.5 | 8% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 34.5 | 8% |
| James Harden: Points O/U 24.5 | 8% |
| Peyton Watson: Points O/U 19.5 | 8% |
| LaMelo Ball: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 8% |
| Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 5.5 | 8% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 8% |
| Spread -24.5 | 7% |
| O/U 260.5 | 7% |
| Sam Merrill: Points O/U 14.5 | 7% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 7% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 24.5 | 7% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Points O/U 19.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -19.5 | 7% |
| Spread -15.5 | 6% |
| Spread -26.5 | 6% |
| James Harden: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 6% |
| Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 5.5 | 6% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 7.5 | 6% |
| LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 11.5 | 6% |
| Spread -17.5 | 5% |
| Spread -32.5 | 5% |
| Jaylon Tyson: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| Peyton Watson: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Assists O/U 5.5 | 5% |
| Rudy Gobert: Assists O/U 3.5 | 5% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 5% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 5% |
| Spread -19.5 | 4% |
| Spread -28.5 | 4% |
| Jaylon Tyson: Points O/U 19.5 | 4% |
| Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 19.5 | 4% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 4% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 7.5 | 4% |
| Spread -30.5 | 3% |
| Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 7.5 | 3% |
| Jarrett Allen: Assists O/U 3.5 | 3% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Assists O/U 5.5 | 3% |
| Peyton Watson: Assists O/U 5.5 | 3% |
| Spread -21.5 | 2% |
| Spread -23.5 | 2% |
Markt-Kontext
Händler auf dezentralen Prognosemärkten geben 95% Wahrscheinlichkeit für Prognose: Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 26 at 7:00PM ET: If the Timberwolves win, the market will resolve to "Timberwolves". If the Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to "Cavaliers". If th…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $1.4M.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Methodisch unterscheiden wir zwei Schichten: die Live-Wahrscheinlichkeit (Polymarket-Mid-Preis) und die Plattform-Attribute (Gebühren, KYC, Auszahlung, Settlement-Währung). Eine kanonische Wahrscheinlichkeit über die Zeile, die Anbieter-spezifischen Trade-offs in den Spalten — sauber, vergleichbar, ohne Marketing-Lärm.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Polymarket-basierte Märkte werden über das UMA Optimistic Oracle auf Polygon aufgelöst. Ein Vorschlagender reicht das Ergebnis ein, ein zweistündiges Einspruchsfenster öffnet sich, und unangefochtene Vorschläge schließen die Auflösung ab. Auszahlungen erfolgen automatisch in USDC, sobald das Ergebnis final ist — keine Buchhalter, keine Verzögerung.
Kalshi-basierte Märkte werden in USD über die CFTC-regulierte Settlement-Engine ausgezahlt. Betfair Exchange zahlt in GBP/EUR aus, abzüglich Kommission. Manifold ist Spielgeld und zahlt keine echten Beträge aus.
Häufige Fragen
- Was ist der Unterschied zwischen YES- und NO-Anteilen?
- Ein YES-Anteil zahlt $1,00 bei Eintritt des Ereignisses, sonst $0. Ein NO-Anteil zahlt $1,00, wenn das Ereignis nicht eintritt. Der Marktpreis zwischen 0¢ und 100¢ ist die implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit.
- Welche Gebühren fallen bei Polymarket an?
- Direkt am Polymarket-Orderbuch keine Gebühren — die einzigen Kosten sind Polygon-Netzwerkgebühren (typischerweise unter $0,01 pro Transaktion). Off-chain Plattformen wie Kalshi oder Betfair verlangen 2-7 % Kommission.
- Wie lange dauert eine USDC-Einzahlung?
- Auf Polygon werden Einzahlungen nach 12 Bestätigungen gutgeschrieben — in der Regel unter 30 Sekunden. Withdrawals folgen demselben Pfad und sind binnen Minuten auf Ihrer Wallet.
- Brauche ich KYC für diesen Markt?
- Auf Polymarket direkt nicht. Über vermittelnde Broker wie Wettenprognose ist KYC erst ab $1.500 lebenslangem Trading-Volumen erforderlich — darunter handeln Sie pseudonym mit nur einer Wallet-Adresse.
- Wie verlässlich sind die angezeigten Quoten?
- Die YES/NO-Prozentsätze sind die Live-Mid-Preise des Polymarket-Orderbuchs. Auf Märkten mit hoher Liquidität bewegen sich diese Werte sekündlich; bei dünneren Märkten sehen Sie kurze Plateaus.
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Jetzt „Prognose: Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers" auf Wettenprognose handeln
Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
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